Idaho had to much smoke where we were.
Then the drive back to the cabin in West Yellowstone took a long time. Idaho was not prepared for the traffic.
I actually went off-road on trails to get to very high spot on top of a mountain. We had a successful eclipse view but the low hanging smoke was annoying.
April in Oklahoma is about a 50/50. Usually that time of year is stormy rather than overcast. Storms go through in the late afternoon.
If I had to travel at all I would be doing the same thing you are, being in my home state I want to take the chance. Also if I were traveling I would probably be getting good insurance on my gear, some Mexican drug lord would love to have a nice big lens.