A little hint regardin auroras.....stop looking only KP numbers, once i stopped that i have seen wayyyy more auroras. Also spring solistice or what ever that is english is 20.3 this mean week befora and afret even a slight activity can give quite nice shows. Here is one good english speaking site to see what is coming in northern europe and covers iceland too.

https://www.virmalised.ee/aurora-alerts/

Basically the bigger the speed and more red bz is you are good =) and the oval image naturally helps